Egypt in the Post-Mubarak era
2011 / 2 / 3
Egypt in the Post-Mubarak era
By *Zeravan Barwary
Many analysts are trying to reach to a comprehensive analysis about the crisis in Egypt. People around the world are observing the events carefully. In Middle East and North Africa, people are looking forward to imitate the Egyptian revolution to get their freedom from the totalitarian regimes that have no legitimacy and have maintained their power through unrealistic regulation using fear and terror.
Today, there is great development in the region. It is about to be a political earthquake; and it seems that we are facing a new era, the era that might change the political map in the region, the era that will produce new political facts and role players. It is out of question that the domestic reforms in the region, especially in the Arab World will affect the international relations in world’s politics. There will be a new era in the relations between the Arab world and the Western societies and in the Arab-Israeli negotiation to achieve peace and stability. Israel is worried about what is happening in Egypt. It considers the last events as a real threat to Israel’s national security and its alliance in the region. The coming political regimes might be tougher with Israel than the current ones. Here a number of questions arise, would the Islamic political parties run the Arab world? And, if they do, how would it affect the Western interests in the region? And, how would this affect people’s freedom in the Arab World?
It is true that the Islamic parties are the most powerful opposition in many Arab countries, especially in Egypt. However, this does not mean that these Islamic parties will run the Arab World alone. There will be a new policy. The Islamic parties will consider the pervious era therefore, they will share the political map with the other parties and secular elites in an attempt to show a modern attitude which would serve the desires of people from different sectors and classes in the Egyptian society. They will support democracy because the tools of democracy will help them to reach power in the region. In addition, they need to protect their existence through outsider’s supports or at least through avoiding the Western hostiles. I believe that the Islamic groups are aware of the new era, and they will benefits from the Turkish experience. The Muslim Brotherhood group in Egypt is working in that direction. It depends on secular people to change the political situation. It will appear in the picture in the coming stage. It will use its influence in the Egyptian society through election, and democratic transition of power. For now, the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood is observing the situation carefully to participate in the post-Mubarak era strongly and effectively.
The Muslim Brotherhood group knows that politicians in the West have strong influence on their societies since several decades. They will deal with this fact rationally and responsibly. They will try to practice a pragmatic policy to Western Societies in order to protect their interests and to stay in power.
In term of freedom, the Islamic groups suffered from the lack of freedom and totalitarian regimes for many decades. Thus, they will not repeat the same mistake again. I believe that people’s freedom will not be affected when the Islamic groups rule the politics in the Arab World.
In brief, the upcoming events will answer many unanswered questions, people will have more power than before, and there will be the real participation in the process of decision-making.
*Master in Political Science